Brigham Young vs Boise State 9/20/2012

[RXNewsbot]

AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Brigham Young winning 46% of simulations, and Boise State 54% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Brigham Young commits fewer turnovers in 52% of simulations and they go on to win 56% when they take care of the ball. Boise State wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Michael Alisa is averaging 46 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (17% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. D.J. Harper is averaging 104 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -5

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